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ABNB

Will Airbnb fall more than 30% over the next year?

Consensus

8%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

8 forecastsCloses 26 Aug 2026, 08:36Resolves 12 Jul 2027, 21:00

The community sees this as very unlikely for Airbnb at 8%, based on 8 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Airbnb is down more than 30% 12 months out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 8%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 27d 20h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Will Airbnb fall more than 30% over the next year? · Probs

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