Probs
Probs turns a live crowd of forecasters into price targets, probabilities and volatility for 185+ stocks & coins. Every call is scored against what actually happens. Free.
Every forecast on the record · the sharpest forecasters shape the numbers · no card required
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Cardano
ADA
Will Cardano be higher in 3 months than today?
Drag the slider to where you'd put the odds.
NVDA · NVIDIA CORP
Will NVIDIA close higher this week?
Crowd says 55% · closes Friday
FRIDAY'S CLOSE IS IN
NVIDIA closed higher.
YOUR CALIBRATION
When you say 90%, it happens 71% of the time.
THE LEADERBOARD MOVES
NVDA · 30-DAY OUTLOOK
from 1,240 scored calls
Target
$209
P(up)
53%
Impl. vol
47%
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Breadth improved into the close and vol's cheap with no catalyst before CPI. I don't see who's selling here. 62% it closes green tomorrow.
markets tracked live
questions settled against reality
forecasts on the record
The questions the community is forecasting most right now. Pick one and make your call.
Every prediction feeds a real quant engine. Questions come in ladders: will it be higher, up 5%, down 12%? Each answer pins a point on a curve, the same mathematics option markets use to read expectations out of prices.
Model estimates from community odds: information, not investment advice. Every market gets the full treatment: projection cone, return distribution, and crowd-implied volatility.
Impl. vol
31%ann.
how big the swings
P(up)
50%
odds it ends higher
Skew
Balanced
where the risk leans
Impl. vol
41%ann.
how big the swings
P(up)
50%
odds it ends higher
Skew
Balanced
where the risk leans
Impl. vol
41%ann.
how big the swings
P(up)
51%
odds it ends higher
Skew
Balanced
where the risk leans
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