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Will Amazon.com Inc fall more than 30% over the next year? · Probs

AMZN

Will Amazon.com Inc fall more than 30% over the next year?

Consensus

11%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

5 forecastsCloses 26 Aug 2026, 08:36Resolves 12 Jul 2027, 21:00

The community sees this as very unlikely for Amazon.com Inc at 11%, based on 5 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Amazon.com Inc is down more than 30% 12 months out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 11%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 27d 20h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

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