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Will ASML Holding fall more than 17% over the next 3 months? · Probs

ASML

Will ASML Holding fall more than 17% over the next 3 months?

Consensus

24%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

6 forecastsCloses 5 Aug 2026, 13:19Resolves 12 Oct 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as very unlikely for ASML Holding at 24%, based on 6 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if ASML Holding is down more than 17% 90 days out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 24%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 7d 0h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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