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Will ASML Holding outperform the S&P 500 over the next month? · Probs

ASML

Will ASML Holding outperform the S&P 500 over the next month?

Consensus

53%Likely

Moderate agreement

6 forecastsCloses 5 Aug 2026, 15:40Resolves 27 Aug 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as close to a coin toss for ASML Holding at 53%, based on 6 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if ASML Holding's return beats the S&P 500's over the next 30 days.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 53%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 7d 3h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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