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BABA

Will Alibaba Group fall more than 23% over the next 3 months?

Consensus

16%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

8 forecastsCloses 11 Aug 2026, 09:09Resolves 19 Oct 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as very unlikely for Alibaba Group at 16%, based on 8 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Alibaba Group is down more than 23% 90 days out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 16%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 12d 21h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Will Alibaba Group fall more than 23% over the next 3 months? · Probs

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