ResolvedNO
Settled 20 Jul 2026, 13:19
Final consensus
The community sees this as very unlikely for Bitcoin at 15%, based on 7 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.
Resolves YES if Bitcoin is down more than 4% 7 days out versus its baseline price.
Forecasting is closed — this question has resolved NO. See the outcome at the top.
Share your read on this question — the best forecasters show their work.
See the whole btc discussion →