Probs · Forecast in probabilities, not opinions.

Markets Rankings Guide Accuracy Get the app Premium About Feedback

Probs is for informational and educational purposes only and is not financial, investment, or trading advice. We are not authorised or regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Community forecasts and projected prices are opinions and models, not guarantees. Do your own research and seek professional advice before making any financial decision. Price data from providers including Twelve Data, Finnhub, Yahoo Finance and CoinGecko; provided as-is with no warranty.

Terms of Service Privacy Policy

© 2026 Probs. All rights reserved.

Will Bitcoin fall more than 16% over the next 3 months? · Probs

BTC

Will Bitcoin fall more than 16% over the next 3 months?

Consensus

7%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

4 forecastsCloses 20 Aug 2026, 04:51Resolves 26 Oct 2026, 16:51

The community sees this as very unlikely for Bitcoin at 7%, based on 4 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Bitcoin is down more than 16% 90 days out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 7%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 21d 16h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

Share your read on this question — the best forecasters show their work.

See the whole btc discussion →