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Will Polkadot outperform Bitcoin over the next month? · Probs

DOT

Will Polkadot outperform Bitcoin over the next month?

Consensus

52%Coin flip

Moderate agreement

6 forecastsCloses 30 Jul 2026, 02:22Resolves 21 Aug 2026, 14:22

The community sees this as close to a coin toss for Polkadot at 52%, based on 6 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Polkadot's return beats Bitcoin's over the next 30 days.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 52%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 14h 30m · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

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