Probs · Forecast in probabilities, not opinions.

Markets Rankings Guide Accuracy Get the app Premium About Feedback

Probs is for informational and educational purposes only and is not financial, investment, or trading advice. We are not authorised or regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Community forecasts and projected prices are opinions and models, not guarantees. Do your own research and seek professional advice before making any financial decision. Price data from providers including Twelve Data, Finnhub, Yahoo Finance and CoinGecko; provided as-is with no warranty.

Will US Dollar Index outperform the S&P 500 over the next month? · Probs

US Dollar Index

DXY

Will US Dollar Index outperform the S&P 500 over the next month?

Consensus

53%Likely

Moderate agreement

5 forecastsCloses 30 Jul 2026, 02:22Resolves 21 Aug 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as close to a coin toss for US Dollar Index at 53%, based on 5 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if US Dollar Index's return beats the S&P 500's over the next 30 days.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 53%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 14h 31m · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

Share your read on this question — the best forecasters show their work.

See the whole dxy discussion →