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Will iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF fall more than 38% over the next year? · Probs

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF

EEM

Will iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF fall more than 38% over the next year?

Consensus

26%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

7 forecastsCloses 2 Sept 2026, 21:09Resolves 19 Jul 2027, 21:00

The community sees this as unlikely for iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF at 26%, based on 7 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF is down more than 38% 12 months out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 26%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 35d 9h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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