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Will British Pound / US Dollar fall more than 7% over the next year? · Probs

British Pound / US Dollar

GBPUSD

Will British Pound / US Dollar fall more than 7% over the next year?

Consensus

15%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

5 forecastsCloses 2 Sept 2026, 21:09Resolves 19 Jul 2027, 21:00

The community sees this as very unlikely for British Pound / US Dollar at 15%, based on 5 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if British Pound / US Dollar is down more than 7% 12 months out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 15%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 35d 9h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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