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British Pound / US Dollar

GBPUSD

Will British Pound / US Dollar fall more than 4% over the next 3 months?

Consensus

16%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

6 forecastsCloses 11 Aug 2026, 09:09Resolves 19 Oct 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as very unlikely for British Pound / US Dollar at 16%, based on 6 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if British Pound / US Dollar is down more than 4% 90 days out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 16%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 12d 20h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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Will British Pound / US Dollar fall more than 4% over the next 3 months? · Probs