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Will iShares Core S&P 500 ETF gain more than 8% over the next 3 months? · Probs

iShares Core S&P 500 ETF

IVV

Will iShares Core S&P 500 ETF gain more than 8% over the next 3 months?

Consensus

38%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

3 forecastsCloses 19 Aug 2026, 10:19Resolves 26 Oct 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as unlikely for iShares Core S&P 500 ETF at 38%, based on 3 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if iShares Core S&P 500 ETF is up more than 8% 90 days out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 38%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 20d 21h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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