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JD.com

Will JD.com fall more than 20% over the next 3 months?

Consensus

11%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

4 forecastsCloses 11 Aug 2026, 09:09Resolves 19 Oct 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as very unlikely for JD.com at 11%, based on 4 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if JD.com is down more than 20% 90 days out versus its baseline price.

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How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 11%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 12d 21h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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Will JD.com fall more than 20% over the next 3 months? · Probs