Probs · Forecast in probabilities, not opinions.

Markets Rankings Guide Accuracy Get the app Premium About Feedback

Probs is for informational and educational purposes only and is not financial, investment, or trading advice. We are not authorised or regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Community forecasts and projected prices are opinions and models, not guarantees. Do your own research and seek professional advice before making any financial decision. Price data from providers including Twelve Data, Finnhub, Yahoo Finance and CoinGecko; provided as-is with no warranty.

Terms of Service Privacy Policy

© 2026 Probs. All rights reserved.

Will Merck & Co swing more than 4% either way this week? · Probs

MRK

Will Merck & Co swing more than 4% either way this week?

Consensus

36%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

8 forecastsCloses 30 Jul 2026, 09:01Resolves 4 Aug 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as unlikely for Merck & Co at 36%, based on 8 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Merck & Co moves more than 4% from its baseline, up or down, at any point in the next 7 days.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 36%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 21h 1m · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

Share your read on this question — the best forecasters show their work.

See the whole mrk discussion →