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Probs is for informational and educational purposes only and is not financial, investment, or trading advice. We are not authorised or regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Community forecasts and projected prices are opinions and models, not guarantees. Do your own research and seek professional advice before making any financial decision. Price data from providers including Twelve Data, Finnhub, Yahoo Finance and CoinGecko; provided as-is with no warranty.

Optimism

Will Optimism fall more than 37% over the next 3 months?

Consensus

23%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

6 forecastsCloses 11 Aug 2026, 09:09Resolves 17 Oct 2026, 21:09

The community sees this as very unlikely for Optimism at 23%, based on 6 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Optimism is down more than 37% 90 days out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 23%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 12d 21h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Will Optimism fall more than 37% over the next 3 months? · Probs

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