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Probs is for informational and educational purposes only and is not financial, investment, or trading advice. We are not authorised or regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Community forecasts and projected prices are opinions and models, not guarantees. Do your own research and seek professional advice before making any financial decision. Price data from providers including Twelve Data, Finnhub, Yahoo Finance and CoinGecko; provided as-is with no warranty.

Optimism

Will Optimism outperform Bitcoin over the next 3 years?

Consensus

45%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

11 forecastsCloses 20 Aug 2026, 11:36Resolves 5 Jul 2029, 11:36

The community sees this as close to a coin toss for Optimism at 45%, based on 11 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Optimism's return beats Bitcoin's over the next 3 years.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 45%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 21d 22h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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Will Optimism outperform Bitcoin over the next 3 years? · Probs