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Will Shell plc fall more than 23% over the next year? · Probs

SHEL

Will Shell plc fall more than 23% over the next year?

Consensus

18%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

4 forecastsCloses 27 Aug 2026, 13:19Resolves 13 Jul 2027, 21:00

The community sees this as very unlikely for Shell plc at 18%, based on 4 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Shell plc is down more than 23% 12 months out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 18%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 29d 1h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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