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Will Shell plc fall more than 7% over the next 3 months? · Probs

SHEL

Will Shell plc fall more than 7% over the next 3 months?

Consensus

33%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

3 forecastsCloses 5 Aug 2026, 13:19Resolves 12 Oct 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as unlikely for Shell plc at 33%, based on 3 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Shell plc is down more than 7% 90 days out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 33%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 7d 0h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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