Probs · Forecast in probabilities, not opinions.

Markets Rankings Guide Accuracy Get the app Premium About Feedback

Probs is for informational and educational purposes only and is not financial, investment, or trading advice. We are not authorised or regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Community forecasts and projected prices are opinions and models, not guarantees. Do your own research and seek professional advice before making any financial decision. Price data from providers including Twelve Data, Finnhub, Yahoo Finance and CoinGecko; provided as-is with no warranty.

Terms of Service Privacy Policy

© 2026 Probs. All rights reserved.

SHEL

Will Shell plc outperform the S&P 500 over the next month?

Consensus

48%Coin flip

Moderate agreement

8 forecastsCloses 5 Aug 2026, 15:40Resolves 27 Aug 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as close to a coin toss for Shell plc at 48%, based on 8 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Shell plc's return beats the S&P 500's over the next 30 days.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 48%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 7d 3h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Will Shell plc outperform the S&P 500 over the next month? · Probs

Discussion

Share your read on this question — the best forecasters show their work.

See the whole shel discussion →