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Will S&P 500 ETF be higher a year from now than today? · Probs

SPY

Will S&P 500 ETF be higher a year from now than today?

Consensus

54%Bullish

Moderate agreement

8 forecastsCloses 18 Aug 2026, 20:45Resolves 5 Jul 2027, 21:00

The community is narrowly leaning bullish on S&P 500 ETF at 54%, based on 8 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if S&P 500 ETF's price 12 months out is above its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 54%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 20d 8h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

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