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SPY

Will S&P 500 ETF be higher 3 years from now than today?

Consensus

63%Bullish

Moderate agreement

11 forecastsCloses 20 Aug 2026, 11:36Resolves 5 Jul 2029, 21:00

The community is moderately leaning bullish on S&P 500 ETF at 63%, based on 11 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if S&P 500 ETF's price 3 years out is above its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 63%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 21d 23h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Will S&P 500 ETF be higher 3 years from now than today? · Probs

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