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SPY

Will S&P 500 ETF hit a new 52-week high in the next 3 months?

Consensus

12%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

7 forecastsCloses 11 Aug 2026, 22:05Resolves 19 Oct 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as very unlikely for S&P 500 ETF at 12%, based on 7 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if S&P 500 ETF closes above its highest close of the past 52 weeks at any point in the next 3 months.

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How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 12%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 13d 10h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Will S&P 500 ETF hit a new 52-week high in the next 3 months? · Probs

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