S&P 500 ETF
SPYvs
Which breaks first for S&P 500 ETF: $766 or $720?
Consensus
59%Bullish
Moderate agreement
10 forecastsClosed 23 Jul 2026, 07:34Resolves 3 Aug 2026, 21:00
The community is narrowly leaning bullish on S&P 500 ETF at 59%, based on 10 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.
Two lines, one race. Resolves YES if S&P 500 ETF closes at or above $766 before ever closing at or below $720; NO the other way round. If neither line breaks by the deadline, the side whose line the final close is nearer takes it (a dead-centre finish goes to the downside).
Two lines · one race · first break wins
$766
Team up · 59%
$720
Team down · 41%
10 forecasters have picked a side. If neither line breaks by the deadline, the nearer line takes it.
Make a forecast
Forecasting has closed. This question resolves on 3 Aug 2026, 21:00 based on the outcome by then.