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SPY

Will S&P 500 ETF be higher in 3 months than today?

Consensus

49%Mixed

Moderate agreement

2 forecastsCloses 20 Aug 2026, 04:51Resolves 26 Oct 2026, 21:00

The community is narrowly leaning bearish on S&P 500 ETF at 49%, based on 2 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if S&P 500 ETF's price 90 days out is above its baseline price.

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How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 49%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 21d 16h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Will S&P 500 ETF be higher in 3 months than today? · Probs

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