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Will S&P 500 ETF close above $788 a month from now? · Probs

SPY

Will S&P 500 ETF close above $788 a month from now?

Consensus

13%Bearish

Moderate agreement

6 forecastsCloses 3 Aug 2026, 22:10Resolves 26 Aug 2026, 21:00

The community is strongly leaning bearish on S&P 500 ETF at 13%, based on 6 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if S&P 500 ETF's closing price on the resolve date is at or above $788.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 13%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 5d 10h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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