SPY

Which breaks first for S&P 500 ETF: $761 or $717?

Consensus

The community is narrowly leaning bearish on S&P 500 ETF at 49%, based on 7 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Two lines, one race. Resolves YES if S&P 500 ETF closes at or above $761 before ever closing at or below $717; NO the other way round. If neither line breaks by the deadline, the side whose line the final close is nearer takes it (a dead-centre finish goes to the downside).