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TSM

Will TSMC trade above $450 at any point in the next 3 months?

Consensus

20%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

6 forecastsCloses 11 Aug 2026, 22:05Resolves 19 Oct 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as very unlikely for TSMC at 20%, based on 6 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if TSMC closes at or above $450 at any point in the next 3 months.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 20%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 13d 10h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Will TSMC trade above $450 at any point in the next 3 months? · Probs

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