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Will US Dollar / Japanese Yen fall more than 6% over the next year? · Probs

US Dollar / Japanese Yen

USDJPY

Will US Dollar / Japanese Yen fall more than 6% over the next year?

Consensus

16%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

5 forecastsCloses 2 Sept 2026, 21:09Resolves 19 Jul 2027, 21:00

The community sees this as very unlikely for US Dollar / Japanese Yen at 16%, based on 5 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if US Dollar / Japanese Yen is down more than 6% 12 months out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 16%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 35d 8h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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