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Vanguard S&P 500 ETF

VOO

Will Vanguard S&P 500 ETF gain more than 8% over the next 3 months?

Consensus

36%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

6 forecastsCloses 11 Aug 2026, 09:09Resolves 19 Oct 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as unlikely for Vanguard S&P 500 ETF at 36%, based on 6 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Vanguard S&P 500 ETF is up more than 8% 90 days out versus its baseline price.

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How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 36%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 12d 21h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

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Will Vanguard S&P 500 ETF gain more than 8% over the next 3 months? · Probs