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Will Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF outperform the S&P 500 over the next month? · Probs

Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF

VTI

Will Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF outperform the S&P 500 over the next month?

Consensus

60%Likely

Moderate agreement

4 forecastsCloses 30 Jul 2026, 02:22Resolves 21 Aug 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as close to a coin toss for Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF at 60%, based on 4 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF's return beats the S&P 500's over the next 30 days.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 60%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 13h 39m · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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