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Will Crude Oil (WTI) fall more than 73% over the next year? · Probs

Crude Oil (WTI)

WTI

Will Crude Oil (WTI) fall more than 73% over the next year?

Consensus

10%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

7 forecastsCloses 19 Aug 2026, 16:23Resolves 5 Jul 2027, 21:00

The community sees this as very unlikely for Crude Oil (WTI) at 10%, based on 7 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Crude Oil (WTI) is down more than 73% 12 months out versus its baseline price.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 10%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 21d 4h · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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