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Will Energy Select Sector SPDR swing more than 3% either way this week? · Probs

Energy Select Sector SPDR

XLE

Will Energy Select Sector SPDR swing more than 3% either way this week?

Consensus

36%Unlikely

Moderate agreement

5 forecastsCloses 30 Jul 2026, 09:01Resolves 4 Aug 2026, 21:00

The community sees this as unlikely for Energy Select Sector SPDR at 36%, based on 5 forecasts. Forecasters are in moderate agreement.

Resolves YES if Energy Select Sector SPDR moves more than 3% from its baseline, up or down, at any point in the next 7 days.

Make a forecast

How likely is YES?50%

Even — a toss-upLow conviction

The crowd says 36%. Your call is scored against it for your track record.

Closes in 21h 8m · a right call from here banks up to 75 pts — the earlier the call, the more it earns.

Reasoning (optional)

Discussion

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