Probs score
Career points
Accuracy
Calibration
Consistency
Forecasts
Correct-call streak
Probs Score ranks forecasters by skill — how much your calls beat a coin-flip (a weak call counts as neutral, never a penalty), weighted by how many you've resolved and how steady you are. Career points are your lifetime total across every resolved call, and only ever go up.
Sharpshooter
75% accuracy across 6039 resolved calls.
13 in a row
13 correct calls back to back.
Oracle
6,039 calls scored against reality.
Your stated probability vs how often it actually happened — dots on the line are perfectly calibrated.