Marcus Webb

Sample#5 worldwide

@marcusw·0 followers·0 following

Macro and rates.

224

Probs score

229,988

Career points

75.6%

Accuracy

52.3%

Calibration

88.4%

Consistency

13,197

Forecasts

Correct-call streak

Probs Score ranks forecasters by skill — how much your calls beat a coin-flip (a weak call counts as neutral, never a penalty), weighted by how many you've resolved and how steady you are. Career points are your lifetime total across every resolved call, and only ever go up.

Achievements

Top 10

Currently ranked #5 in the world.

Sharpshooter

76% accuracy across 11525 resolved calls.

26 in a row

26 correct calls back to back.

Oracle

11,525 calls scored against reality.

Sector strengths

macro · 76.7% (#2)technology · 76.2% (#4)consumer · 75.9% (#12)industrials · 75.8% (#3)financials · 75.1% (#6)

Performance

Prediction history

TAO · Which breaks first for Bittensor: $265 or $200?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

48%

FIL · Will Filecoin be above $0.906 a week from now?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

40%

TSLA · Will Tesla Inc be above $359 a week from now?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

55%

VEA · Will Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF swing more than 2% either way this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

46%

COMP · Will Compound swing more than 7% either way this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

34%

GOOGL · Will Alphabet Inc close above $332 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

75%

ARM · Which breaks first for Arm Holdings: $289 or $189?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

47%

IOTA · Will IOTA swing more than 8% either way this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

43%

META · Will Meta Platforms Inc close higher on its next trading day?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

59%

CVX · Will Chevron Corp close above $208 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

68%

VEA · Which breaks first for Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF: $74.4 or $69?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

59%

AMD · Will Advanced Micro Devices close higher on its next trading day?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

59%

TSLA · Will Tesla Inc close higher on its next trading day?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

39%

WTI · Will Crude Oil (WTI) close above $98 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

68%

ETH · Will Ethereum fall more than 4% this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

25%

ADA · Will Cardano fall more than 4% this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

23%

MCD · Will McDonald's Corp close higher on its next trading day?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

42%

SPOT · Will Spotify Technology close higher on its next trading day?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

39%

TAO · Will Bittensor swing more than 9% either way this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

44%

AMZN · Will Amazon.com Inc close above $282 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

13%

QQQ · Will Invesco QQQ Trust close above $720 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

17%

RKLB · Which breaks first for Rocket Lab: $74.1 or $51?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

40%

AXP · Will American Express Co close above $320 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

83%

XLE · Will Energy Select Sector SPDR close above $68.5 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

12%

LLY · Will Eli Lilly and Co be above $1140 a week from now?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

45%

OP · Will Optimism be above $0.0986 a week from now?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

52%

SHIB · Will Shiba Inu be higher at its next daily close?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

52%

BNB · Will BNB be above $721 a week from now?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

50%

MRK · Will Merck & Co be above $145 a week from now?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

49%

MANA · Will Decentraland swing more than 7% either way this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

35%

UNI · Which breaks first for Uniswap: $7.87 or $5.51?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

44%

SE · Will Sea Limited swing more than 7% either way this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

41%

AMZN · Will Amazon.com Inc be above $249 a week from now?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

58%

XLE · Will Energy Select Sector SPDR close above $63 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

85%

AXP · Will American Express Co close above $310 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

88%

GBPUSD · Will British Pound / US Dollar close above $1.356 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

26%

EEM · Will iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF close above $63.5 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

70%

ADA · Will Cardano gain more than 4% this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

28%

PDD · Will PDD Holdings fall more than 3% this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

20%

WTI · Will Crude Oil (WTI) close above $110 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

24%

GBPUSD · Will British Pound / US Dollar close above $1.368 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

QCOM · Will Qualcomm Inc swing more than 9% either way this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

49%

CVX · Will Chevron Corp close higher on its next trading day?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

53%

XOM · Will Exxon Mobil be above $165 a week from now?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

45%

QQQ · Will Invesco QQQ Trust top its one-month high of $732 this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

15%

ARM · Will Arm Holdings gain more than 7% this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

21%

MA · Will Mastercard Inc close above $588 at the end of September 2026?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

13%

TTE · Which breaks first for TotalEnergies: $95.9 or $86.4?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

47%

INJ · Will Injective swing more than 11% either way this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

31%

VZ · Will Verizon Communications swing more than 4% either way this week?

Placed 15 Sept 2026 · open

48%