BHPWatch

BHP Group

$83.79

Community outlook

Mixed51%

Questions Discussion Earnings Data & analysis

Next report

Mon, 17 Aug 2026

in 19 daysafter market close

EPS estimate

$1.32

Wall Street consensus

Revenue estimate

$30.6B

Wall Street consensus

Expected swing

±7.5%

±1σ by report day, from realized volatility

Also reporting that week:ASTS HD NU CSCO WMT

EPS outlook

Odds turned into a number: where the print lands if BHP's usual surprise repeats — and what the crowd's beat odds imply on the same scale.

Street estimate

$•.••

the bar to clear

If history repeats

$•.••

•• of •• quarters beat

Crowd implies

—

needs more forecasts on the beat question

Typical range for the print: $•.•• – $•.••±1σ of past surprises
Beat odds implied by the record: ••%ceiling on •• quarters

A beat probability is a statement about where the print sits relative to the estimate. Scaled by how far recent quarters landed from the Street, it becomes a dollar figure. Not a forecast of the stock — companies fall on beats.

The crowd's read

Live odds from the community — tap through to make your own call.

Will BHP Group beat Wall Street's EPS estimate at its next earnings report?

Beat the estimate? · 5 forecasting

73%

Forecast

Will BHP Group be higher in 3 months than today?

Nearest crowd call that settles after the report · 5 forecasting

46%

Forecast

The Street's stance

Analyst consensus — and whether it has been improving or souring into the print.

Hold

24 analysts · 8 buy · 16 hold · 0 sell

steady over the last 3 months

Estimate track record

Reported EPS against the Street's estimate, most recent first — the same feed our earnings questions settle on.

Beat rate

1 of 4

quarters beat the estimate

Avg surprise

-4.5%

vs EPS estimate

Quarter	Estimate	Actual	Surprise	Result
Dec 2025	$1.26	$1.12	-11.6%	MISS
Jun 2025	$1.05	$1.00	-4.6%	MISS
Dec 2024	$1.03

Fundamentals snapshot

Trailing-twelve-month figures for context around the print.

Market cap

$305.3B

EPS (TTM)

$2.01

P/E (TTM)

20.8

price ÷ trailing earnings

Revenue growth

+0.7%

TTM vs a year ago

Net margin

19.0%

of revenue kept as profit

52-week range

$39 – $66

now $83.79

Beta

1.74

moves harder than the market

Dividend yield

2.64%

trailing twelve months

Estimates and reported figures via Finnhub; crowd odds are BHP Group forecasts on Probs. Information, not investment advice.