MELIWatch

MercadoLibre

$1,862.52

Community outlook

Bullish56%

Questions Discussion Earnings Data & analysis

Next report

Wed, 5 Aug 2026

in 7 days

EPS estimate

$8.81

Wall Street consensus

Revenue estimate

$9.9B

Wall Street consensus

Expected swing

±4.3%

±1σ by report day, from realized volatility

Also reporting that week:AMD CAT MCD MRK PFE SPOT DIS LLY

EPS outlook

Odds turned into a number: where the print lands if MELI's usual surprise repeats — and what the crowd's beat odds imply on the same scale.

Street estimate

$•.••

the bar to clear

If history repeats

$•.••

•• of •• quarters beat

Crowd implies

—

needs more forecasts on the beat question

Typical range for the print: $•.•• – $•.••±1σ of past surprises
Beat odds implied by the record: ••%ceiling on •• quarters

A beat probability is a statement about where the print sits relative to the estimate. Scaled by how far recent quarters landed from the Street, it becomes a dollar figure. Not a forecast of the stock — companies fall on beats.

The crowd's read

Live odds from the community — tap through to make your own call.

Will MercadoLibre be higher in 3 months than today?

Nearest crowd call that settles after the report · 3 forecasting

59%

Forecast

The Street's stance

Analyst consensus — and whether it has been improving or souring into the print.

Buy

30 analysts · 25 buy · 5 hold · 0 sell

steady over the last 3 months

Estimate track record

Reported EPS against the Street's estimate, most recent first — the same feed our earnings questions settle on.

Beat rate

0 of 4

quarters beat the estimate

Avg surprise

-10.1%

vs EPS estimate

Quarter	Estimate	Actual	Surprise	Result
Mar 2026	$8.83	$8.23	-6.8%	MISS
Dec 2025	$11.70	$11.03	-5.7%	MISS
Sept 2025	$9.52

Fundamentals snapshot

Trailing-twelve-month figures for context around the print.

Market cap

$94.0B

EPS (TTM)

$37.88

P/E (TTM)

48.9

price ÷ trailing earnings

Revenue growth

+42.1%

TTM vs a year ago

Gross margin

43.9%

of revenue kept after costs

Net margin

6.0%

of revenue kept as profit

52-week range

$1,495 – $2,549

now $1,862.52

Beta

1.33

moves harder than the market

Estimates and reported figures via Finnhub; crowd odds are MercadoLibre forecasts on Probs. Information, not investment advice.