PDDWatch

PDD Holdings

$85.71

Community outlook

Bullish55%

Questions Discussion Earnings Data & analysis

Next report

Mon, 24 Aug 2026

in 26 daysbefore market open

EPS estimate

$18.40

Wall Street consensus

Revenue estimate

$117.5B

Wall Street consensus

Expected swing

±8.6%

±1σ by report day, from realized volatility

Also reporting that week:WMT BIDU CRM NVDA BABA

EPS outlook

Odds turned into a number: where the print lands if PDD's usual surprise repeats — and what the crowd's beat odds imply on the same scale.

Street estimate

$•.••

the bar to clear

If history repeats

$•.••

•• of •• quarters beat

Crowd implies

—

needs more forecasts on the beat question

Typical range for the print: $•.•• – $•.••±1σ of past surprises
Beat odds implied by the record: ••%ceiling on •• quarters

A beat probability is a statement about where the print sits relative to the estimate. Scaled by how far recent quarters landed from the Street, it becomes a dollar figure. Not a forecast of the stock — companies fall on beats.

The crowd's read

Live odds from the community — tap through to make your own call.

Will PDD Holdings beat Wall Street's EPS estimate at its next earnings report?

Beat the estimate? · 5 forecasting

73%

Forecast

Will PDD Holdings be higher in 3 months than today?

Nearest crowd call that settles after the report · 6 forecasting

55%

Forecast

The Street's stance

Analyst consensus — and whether it has been improving or souring into the print.

Buy

41 analysts · 25 buy · 14 hold · 2 sell

souring over the last 3 months

Estimate track record

Reported EPS against the Street's estimate, most recent first — the same feed our earnings questions settle on.

Beat rate

2 of 4

quarters beat the estimate

Avg surprise

+0.9%

vs EPS estimate

Quarter	Estimate	Actual	Surprise	Result
Mar 2026	$16.80	$9.51	-43.4%	MISS
Dec 2025	$20.97	$17.69	-15.6%	MISS
Sept 2025	$17.01

Fundamentals snapshot

Trailing-twelve-month figures for context around the print.

Market cap

$120.8B

EPS (TTM)

$16.13

P/E (TTM)

8.6

price ÷ trailing earnings

Revenue growth

+9.9%

TTM vs a year ago

Gross margin

56.0%

of revenue kept after costs

Net margin

21.6%

of revenue kept as profit

52-week range

$72 – $139

now $85.71

Beta

0.01

steadier than the market

Estimates and reported figures via Finnhub; crowd odds are PDD Holdings forecasts on Probs. Information, not investment advice.