SHELWatch

Shell plc

$86.20

Community outlook

Bullish58%

Questions Discussion Earnings Data & analysis

Next report

Thu, 30 Jul 2026

tomorrowbefore market open

EPS estimate

$1.60

Wall Street consensus

Revenue estimate

$109.3B

Wall Street consensus

Expected swing

±1.8%

±1σ by report day, from realized volatility

Also reporting that week:BA KO PYPL V ARM HOOD META MSFT

EPS outlook

Odds turned into a number: where the print lands if SHEL's usual surprise repeats — and what the crowd's beat odds imply on the same scale.

Street estimate

$•.••

the bar to clear

If history repeats

$•.••

•• of •• quarters beat

Crowd implies

—

needs more forecasts on the beat question

Typical range for the print: $•.•• – $•.••±1σ of past surprises
Beat odds implied by the record: ••%ceiling on •• quarters

A beat probability is a statement about where the print sits relative to the estimate. Scaled by how far recent quarters landed from the Street, it becomes a dollar figure. Not a forecast of the stock — companies fall on beats.

The crowd's read

Live odds from the community — tap through to make your own call.

Will Shell plc beat Wall Street's EPS estimate at its next earnings report?

Beat the estimate? · 3 forecasting

71%

Forecast

Will Shell plc close higher a week from now?

Nearest crowd call that settles after the report · 6 forecasting

71%

Forecast

The Street's stance

Analyst consensus — and whether it has been improving or souring into the print.

Buy

25 analysts · 15 buy · 10 hold · 0 sell

improving over the last 3 months

Estimate track record

Reported EPS against the Street's estimate, most recent first — the same feed our earnings questions settle on.

Beat rate

2 of 4

quarters beat the estimate

Avg surprise

-6.0%

vs EPS estimate

Quarter	Estimate	Actual	Surprise	Result
Mar 2026	$1.12	$1.22	+9.4%	BEAT
Dec 2025	$0.74	$0.56	-24.6%	MISS
Sept 2025

Fundamentals snapshot

Trailing-twelve-month figures for context around the print.

Market cap

$181.6B

EPS (TTM)

$3.21

P/E (TTM)

12.9

price ÷ trailing earnings

Revenue growth

-4.9%

TTM vs a year ago

Gross margin

25.9%

of revenue kept after costs

Net margin

7.0%

of revenue kept as profit

52-week range

$2,554 – $3,591

now $86.2

Beta

0.08

steadier than the market

Dividend yield

3.48%

Estimates and reported figures via Finnhub; crowd odds are Shell plc forecasts on Probs. Information, not investment advice.