Tue, 11 Aug 2026
in 13 daysafter market closeEPS estimate
$0.98
Wall Street consensus
Revenue estimate
$11.8B
Wall Street consensus
Expected swing
±20.3%
±1σ by report day, from realized volatility
Odds turned into a number: where the print lands if SMCI's usual surprise repeats — and what the crowd's beat odds imply on the same scale.
Live odds from the community — tap through to make your own call.
Analyst consensus — and whether it has been improving or souring into the print.
Hold
28 analysts · 11 buy · 13 hold · 4 sell
Reported EPS against the Street's estimate, most recent first — the same feed our earnings questions settle on.
Beat rate
2 of 4
quarters beat the estimate
Avg surprise
+11.9%
vs EPS estimate
| Quarter | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $0.63 | $0.84 | +32.3% | BEAT |
| Dec 2025 | $0.50 | $0.69 | +38.7% | BEAT |
| Sept 2025 | $0.41 |
Trailing-twelve-month figures for context around the print.
Market cap
$18.4B
EPS (TTM)
$1.84
P/E (TTM)
14.7
price ÷ trailing earnings
Revenue growth
+56.2%
TTM vs a year ago
Gross margin
8.4%
of revenue kept after costs
Net margin
3.7%
of revenue kept as profit
52-week range
$19 – $62
now $28.45
Beta
2.02
moves harder than the market
Estimates and reported figures via Finnhub; crowd odds are Super Micro Computer forecasts on Probs. Information, not investment advice.
See the implied EPS
Premium turns the crowd's beat odds into a dollar figure and shows where SMCI's print lands if its usual surprise repeats.
| $0.35 |
| -14.9% |
| MISS |
| Jun 2025 | $0.45 | $0.41 | -8.4% | MISS |