TSMWatch

TSMC

$392.31

Community outlook

Bearish45%

Questions Discussion Earnings Data & analysis

Next report

Wed, 14 Oct 2026

in 77 daysafter market close

EPS estimate

$28.66

Wall Street consensus

Revenue estimate

$1.47T

Wall Street consensus

Expected swing

±20.4%

±1σ by report day, from realized volatility

Also reporting that week:GS JNJ JPM WFC BAC

EPS outlook

Odds turned into a number: where the print lands if TSM's usual surprise repeats — and what the crowd's beat odds imply on the same scale.

Street estimate

$•.••

the bar to clear

If history repeats

$•.••

•• of •• quarters beat

Crowd implies

—

needs more forecasts on the beat question

Typical range for the print: $•.•• – $•.••±1σ of past surprises
Beat odds implied by the record: ••%ceiling on •• quarters

A beat probability is a statement about where the print sits relative to the estimate. Scaled by how far recent quarters landed from the Street, it becomes a dollar figure. Not a forecast of the stock — companies fall on beats.

The crowd's read

Live odds from the community — tap through to make your own call.

Will TSMC be higher in 3 months than today?

Nearest crowd call that settles after the report · 5 forecasting

39%

Forecast

The Street's stance

Analyst consensus — and whether it has been improving or souring into the print.

Buy

43 analysts · 41 buy · 2 hold · 0 sell

steady over the last 3 months

Estimate track record

Reported EPS against the Street's estimate, most recent first — the same feed our earnings questions settle on.

Beat rate

4 of 4

quarters beat the estimate

Avg surprise

+7.1%

vs EPS estimate

Quarter	Estimate	Actual	Surprise	Result
Jun 2026	$24.57	$27.25	+10.9%	BEAT
Mar 2026	$21.14	$22.08	+4.4%	BEAT
Dec 2025	$18.54

Fundamentals snapshot

Trailing-twelve-month figures for context around the print.

Market cap

$60.94T

EPS (TTM)

$87.38

P/E (TTM)

26.9

price ÷ trailing earnings

Revenue growth

+31.4%

TTM vs a year ago

Gross margin

64.5%

of revenue kept after costs

Net margin

50.7%

of revenue kept as profit

52-week range

$1,125 – $2,535

now $392.31

Beta

1.06

moves with the market

Dividend yield

0.87%

Estimates and reported figures via Finnhub; crowd odds are TSMC forecasts on Probs. Information, not investment advice.