ABNBWatch

Airbnb

$153.11

Community outlook

Bullish55%

Questions Discussion Earnings Data & analysis

Next report

Thu, 6 Aug 2026

in 8 daysafter market close

EPS estimate

$1.28

Wall Street consensus

Revenue estimate

$3.6B

Wall Street consensus

Expected swing

±5.1%

±1σ by report day, from realized volatility

Also reporting that week:AMD CAT DIS LLY MELI SHOP UBER RKLB

EPS outlook

Odds turned into a number: where the print lands if ABNB's usual surprise repeats — and what the crowd's beat odds imply on the same scale.

Street estimate

$•.••

the bar to clear

If history repeats

$•.••

•• of •• quarters beat

Crowd implies

—

needs more forecasts on the beat question

Typical range for the print: $•.•• – $•.••±1σ of past surprises
Beat odds implied by the record: ••%ceiling on •• quarters

A beat probability is a statement about where the print sits relative to the estimate. Scaled by how far recent quarters landed from the Street, it becomes a dollar figure. Not a forecast of the stock — companies fall on beats.

The crowd's read

Live odds from the community — tap through to make your own call.

Will Airbnb beat Wall Street's EPS estimate at its next earnings report?

Beat the estimate? · 6 forecasting

75%

Forecast

Will Airbnb be higher in 3 months than today?

Nearest crowd call that settles after the report · 6 forecasting

64%

Forecast

The Street's stance

Analyst consensus — and whether it has been improving or souring into the print.

Buy

50 analysts · 28 buy · 20 hold · 2 sell

steady over the last 3 months

Estimate track record

Reported EPS against the Street's estimate, most recent first — the same feed our earnings questions settle on.

Beat rate

1 of 4

quarters beat the estimate

Avg surprise

-7.3%

vs EPS estimate

Quarter	Estimate	Actual	Surprise	Result
Mar 2026	$0.30	$0.26	-11.9%	MISS
Dec 2025	$0.67	$0.56	-16.4%	MISS
Sept 2025	$2.39

Fundamentals snapshot

Trailing-twelve-month figures for context around the print.

Market cap

$92.3B

EPS (TTM)

$4.06

P/E (TTM)

36.7

price ÷ trailing earnings

Revenue growth

+12.6%

TTM vs a year ago

Gross margin

72.2%

of revenue kept after costs

Net margin

19.9%

of revenue kept as profit

52-week range

$111 – $151

now $153.11

Beta

1.13

moves with the market

Estimates and reported figures via Finnhub; crowd odds are Airbnb forecasts on Probs. Information, not investment advice.