NFLXWatch

Netflix Inc

$72.39

Community outlook

Mixed49%

Questions Discussion Earnings Data & analysis

Next report

Mon, 19 Oct 2026

in 82 daysafter market close

EPS estimate

$0.84

Wall Street consensus

Revenue estimate

$13.1B

Wall Street consensus

Expected swing

±16.6%

±1σ by report day, from realized volatility

Also reporting that week:KO LMT TXN T TSLA VZ HON IBM

EPS outlook

Odds turned into a number: where the print lands if NFLX's usual surprise repeats — and what the crowd's beat odds imply on the same scale.

Street estimate

$•.••

the bar to clear

If history repeats

$•.••

•• of •• quarters beat

Crowd implies

—

needs more forecasts on the beat question

Typical range for the print: $•.•• – $•.••±1σ of past surprises
Beat odds implied by the record: ••%ceiling on •• quarters

A beat probability is a statement about where the print sits relative to the estimate. Scaled by how far recent quarters landed from the Street, it becomes a dollar figure. Not a forecast of the stock — companies fall on beats.

The crowd's read

Live odds from the community — tap through to make your own call.

Will Netflix Inc beat Wall Street's EPS estimate at its next earnings report?

Beat the estimate? · 4 forecasting

77%

Forecast

Will Netflix Inc be higher in 3 months than today?

Nearest crowd call that settles after the report · 8 forecasting

47%

Forecast

The Street's stance

Analyst consensus — and whether it has been improving or souring into the print.

Buy

58 analysts · 45 buy · 13 hold · 0 sell

steady over the last 3 months

Estimate track record

Reported EPS against the Street's estimate, most recent first — the same feed our earnings questions settle on.

Beat rate

0 of 4

quarters beat the estimate

Avg surprise

-7.1%

vs EPS estimate

Quarter	Estimate	Actual	Surprise	Result
Jun 2026	$0.80	$0.80	-0.5%	MISS
Mar 2026	$0.78	$0.70	-10.2%	MISS
Dec 2025	$0.56

Fundamentals snapshot

Trailing-twelve-month figures for context around the print.

Market cap

$304.6B

EPS (TTM)

$3.17

P/E (TTM)

22.3

price ÷ trailing earnings

Revenue growth

+16.0%

TTM vs a year ago

Gross margin

49.1%

of revenue kept after costs

Net margin

28.2%

of revenue kept as profit

52-week range

$65 – $127

now $72.39

Beta

1.52

moves harder than the market

Estimates and reported figures via Finnhub; crowd odds are Netflix Inc forecasts on Probs. Information, not investment advice.