Tue, 20 Oct 2026
in 83 daysafter market closeEPS estimate
$0.47
Wall Street consensus
Revenue estimate
$27.7B
Wall Street consensus
Expected swing
±30.3%
±1σ by report day, from realized volatility
Odds turned into a number: where the print lands if TSLA's usual surprise repeats — and what the crowd's beat odds imply on the same scale.
Live odds from the community — tap through to make your own call.
Analyst consensus — and whether it has been improving or souring into the print.
Hold
60 analysts · 29 buy · 24 hold · 7 sell
Reported EPS against the Street's estimate, most recent first — the same feed our earnings questions settle on.
Beat rate
2 of 4
quarters beat the estimate
Avg surprise
-7.0%
vs EPS estimate
| Quarter | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $0.52 | $0.33 | -36.4% | MISS |
| Mar 2026 | $0.38 | $0.41 | +8.7% | BEAT |
| Dec 2025 |
Trailing-twelve-month figures for context around the print.
Market cap
$1.21T
EPS (TTM)
$1.08
P/E (TTM)
319.0
price ÷ trailing earnings
Revenue growth
+11.8%
TTM vs a year ago
Gross margin
18.9%
of revenue kept after costs
Net margin
3.7%
of revenue kept as profit
52-week range
$298 – $499
now $307.44
Beta
1.84
moves harder than the market
Estimates and reported figures via Finnhub; crowd odds are Tesla Inc forecasts on Probs. Information, not investment advice.
See the implied EPS
Premium turns the crowd's beat odds into a dollar figure and shows where TSLA's print lands if its usual surprise repeats.
| $0.45 |
| $0.50 |
| +10.1% |
| BEAT |
| Sept 2025 | $0.56 | $0.50 | -10.5% | MISS |