AXPWatch

American Express Co

$336.63

Community outlook

Mixed51%

Questions Discussion Earnings Data & analysis

Next report

Fri, 23 Oct 2026

in 86 daysbefore market open

EPS estimate

$4.60

Wall Street consensus

Revenue estimate

$20.3B

Wall Street consensus

Expected swing

±12.4%

±1σ by report day, from realized volatility

Also reporting that week:KO LMT NFLX TXN T TSLA VZ HON

EPS outlook

Odds turned into a number: where the print lands if AXP's usual surprise repeats — and what the crowd's beat odds imply on the same scale.

Street estimate

$•.••

the bar to clear

If history repeats

$•.••

•• of •• quarters beat

Crowd implies

—

needs more forecasts on the beat question

Typical range for the print: $•.•• – $•.••±1σ of past surprises
Beat odds implied by the record: ••%ceiling on •• quarters

A beat probability is a statement about where the print sits relative to the estimate. Scaled by how far recent quarters landed from the Street, it becomes a dollar figure. Not a forecast of the stock — companies fall on beats.

The crowd's read

Live odds from the community — tap through to make your own call.

Will American Express Co beat Wall Street's EPS estimate at its next earnings report?

Beat the estimate? · 4 forecasting

78%

Forecast

Will American Express Co be higher in 6 months than today?

Nearest crowd call that settles after the report · 6 forecasting

61%

Forecast

The Street's stance

Analyst consensus — and whether it has been improving or souring into the print.

Buy

36 analysts · 18 buy · 17 hold · 1 sell

steady over the last 3 months

Estimate track record

Reported EPS against the Street's estimate, most recent first — the same feed our earnings questions settle on.

Beat rate

3 of 4

quarters beat the estimate

Avg surprise

+2.1%

vs EPS estimate

Quarter	Estimate	Actual	Surprise	Result
Jun 2026	$4.45	$4.53	+1.8%	BEAT
Mar 2026	$4.06	$4.28	+5.3%	BEAT
Dec 2025	$3.57

Fundamentals snapshot

Trailing-twelve-month figures for context around the print.

Market cap

$226.4B

EPS (TTM)

$16.67

P/E (TTM)

19.8

price ÷ trailing earnings

Revenue growth

+9.5%

TTM vs a year ago

Gross margin

60.6%

of revenue kept after costs

Net margin

14.1%

of revenue kept as profit

52-week range

$288 – $387

now $336.63

Beta

1.06

moves with the market

Dividend yield

1.07%

Estimates and reported figures via Finnhub; crowd odds are American Express Co forecasts on Probs. Information, not investment advice.